Cross-country comparison over absolute dates⮸
Daily Dead (7-Day Average)⮸
Cross-country comparison with approximately aligned start days⮸
Daily Dead (7-Day Average)⮸
Per-country analysis with exponential and sigmoidal projections, and new cases analysis⮸
IMPORTANT: The projections are only accurate if the fit is good (it often isn't), and assuming nothing changes
going forward. The sigmoid is omitted if a reasonable fit can't be computed, but this still doesn't mean that
the fit is good if it is shown.
The dashed lines show best fit projections from a few previous days for comparison.
Start date 2020-03-15 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $7,019$ on 2020-05-17
Best fit exponential: \(526 \times 10^{0.018t}\) (doubling rate \(16.6\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{9,700.4}{1 + 10^{-0.030 (t - 51.5)}}\) (asimptote \(9,700.4\))
Start date 2020-03-18 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $548$ on 2020-05-17
Best fit exponential: \(104 \times 10^{0.013t}\) (doubling rate \(23.0\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{497.8}{1 + 10^{-0.066 (t - 25.0)}}\) (asimptote \(497.8\))
Start date 2020-03-17 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $2,964$ on 2020-05-17
Start date 2020-03-19 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $1,455$ on 2020-05-17
Best fit exponential: \(50.1 \times 10^{0.024t}\) (doubling rate \(12.3\) days)
Start date 2020-03-21 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $61$ on 2020-05-17
Best fit exponential: \(7.52 \times 10^{0.015t}\) (doubling rate \(20.0\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{178.7}{1 + 10^{-0.018 (t - 78.1)}}\) (asimptote \(178.7\))
Start date 2020-03-19 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $1,124$ on 2020-05-17
Start date 2020-03-18 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $332$ on 2020-05-17
Best fit exponential: \(140 \times 10^{0.008t}\) (doubling rate \(38.7\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{333.8}{1 + 10^{-0.103 (t - 15.2)}}\) (asimptote \(333.8\))
Start date 2020-03-21 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $10$ on 2020-05-17
Best fit exponential: \(4.66 \times 10^{0.007t}\) (doubling rate \(42.5\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{9.8}{1 + 10^{-0.083 (t - 11.7)}}\) (asimptote \(9.8\))
Start date 2020-03-18 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $0$ on 2020-05-17
Start date 2020-03-14 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $12,229$ on 2020-05-17
Best fit exponential: \(442 \times 10^{0.023t}\) (doubling rate \(13.3\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{23,801.5}{1 + 10^{-0.031 (t - 64.5)}}\) (asimptote \(23,801.5\))
Start date 2020-03-22 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $630$ on 2020-05-17
Best fit exponential: \(63.6 \times 10^{0.018t}\) (doubling rate \(16.5\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{716.1}{1 + 10^{-0.038 (t - 38.0)}}\) (asimptote \(716.1\))
Start date 2020-03-16 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $8,427$ on 2020-05-17
Start date 2020-03-20 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $328$ on 2020-05-17
Best fit exponential: \(7.67 \times 10^{0.029t}\) (doubling rate \(10.5\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{496.7}{1 + 10^{-0.045 (t - 51.8)}}\) (asimptote \(496.7\))
Start date 2020-03-24 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $3$ on 2020-05-17
Start date 2020-03-20 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $241$ on 2020-05-17
Start date 2020-03-21 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $3,105$ on 2020-05-17
Best fit exponential: \(294 \times 10^{0.018t}\) (doubling rate \(16.4\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{4,213.3}{1 + 10^{-0.032 (t - 44.5)}}\) (asimptote \(4,213.3\))
Start date 2020-03-29 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $140$ on 2020-05-17
Best fit exponential: \(8.83 \times 10^{0.025t}\) (doubling rate \(11.9\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{236.2}{1 + 10^{-0.039 (t - 44.0)}}\) (asimptote \(236.2\))
Start date 2020-03-21 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $1,398$ on 2020-05-17
Start date 2020-03-17 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $6,870$ on 2020-05-17
Best fit exponential: \(606 \times 10^{0.018t}\) (doubling rate \(16.7\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{7,584.5}{1 + 10^{-0.041 (t - 40.3)}}\) (asimptote \(7,584.5\))
Start date 2020-03-22 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $192$ on 2020-05-17
Best fit exponential: \(53.4 \times 10^{0.011t}\) (doubling rate \(26.9\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{184.7}{1 + 10^{-0.061 (t - 19.3)}}\) (asimptote \(184.7\))
Start date 2020-03-18 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $3,018$ on 2020-05-17
Start date 2020-03-18 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $594$ on 2020-05-17
Best fit exponential: \(15.8 \times 10^{0.027t}\) (doubling rate \(11.2\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{648.5}{1 + 10^{-0.057 (t - 46.1)}}\) (asimptote \(648.5\))
Start date 2020-04-22 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $7$ on 2020-05-17
Start date 2020-03-18 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $565$ on 2020-05-17
